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San Francisco

Working Group

North America

Driving progress through strength and diversity

The Working Group North America focuses on North America’s global influence in defence, trade, and diplomacy. It analyses US foreign policy, NATO commitments, and regional security, assessing political developments and strategic partnerships. Monthly briefings provide objective analyses and visualisations of North America's impact on global stability and security frameworks.

North America

Working Group Leader

Stoian

Iasmina

Stoian

Junior Research Fellow

Working Group Members

Lott

Jonathan

Lott

Senior Research Fellow

Cullen

Nina

Cullen

Senior Research Fellow

Afzal

Talha

Afzal

Alumni Research Fellow

Rath

Artur

Rath

Senior Research Fellow

Stoian

Iasmina

Stoian

Junior Research Fellow

Kaiser

Theo

Kaiser

Junior Research Fellow

Young

Chloe

Young

Alumni Research Fellow

Young

Carmen

Young

Junior Research Fellow

Mulder

Izaak

Mulder

Senior Research Fellow

Publications

Bukele's El Salvador

A Role Model for the Wider Conservative Movement in the Americas?

How has President Bukele's approach to violent crime affected regional crime (and his popularity)? Despite criticism from human rights groups, homicide continue dropping, and Bukele's popularity is soaring. Bukele's "mano dura" approach to violent crime, immigration, and democracy are an inspiration to conservatives across the Americas.

Rath

Artur

Rath

Senior Research Fellow

Lott

Jonathan

Lott

Senior Research Fellow

Bukele's El Salvador

Military Recruitment Across Four NATO States in 2025

A Comparison between the USA, Canada, Poland & Germany

What challenges are being faced by the U.S., Canada, Poland, and Germany with regard to military recruitment? Different political and military pressures have driven many innovative practices but with mixed results. States can learn from each other's responses to military recruitment shortfalls.

Lott

Jonathan

Lott

Senior Research Fellow

Senior Research Fellow

Military Recruitment Across Four NATO States in 2025

The U.S New Oil Drilling Policies

Domestic and Global Consequences

How will Biden's offshore oil drilling ban affect U.S. energy policy and global relations? Joe Biden's ban seeks to protect ecosystems and combat climate change but could weaken U.S. energy control, potentially leading to greater reliance on oil imports and altering global energy geopolitics. The ban represents a commitment to environmental leadership but risks diminishing U.S. influence in global energy markets, prompting a reassessment of strategic positions, especially in regions like the Arctic.

Stoian

Iasmina

Stoian

Junior Research Fellow

Junior Research Fellow

The U.S New Oil Drilling Policies

Canada’s versus Mexico’s Stance on Ukraine

N/A

While Trudeau's Canada is siding with the West in supporting Ukraine, López Obrador's Mexico tries to stay neutral.

Mulder

Izaak

Mulder

Senior Research Fellow

Senior Research Fellow

Canada’s versus Mexico’s Stance on Ukraine

Climate Change and Energy Policy in North America

Challenges and Strategies

North America faces climate challenges but aims for net-zero emissions via diverse strategies in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico.

Bürck

Alvin

Bürck

Junior Research Fellow

Junior Research Fellow

Climate Change and Energy Policy in North America

Cuba at Crossroads

An Economic Crisis From a Geopolitical Perspective

How does the current economic crisis affect the international relations of Cuba? The Cuban regime is facing a major crisis that could potentially undermine its grip on the island. Cuba needs to rely on foreign powers such as Russia to maintain the status quo.

Rath

Artur

Rath

Senior Research Fellow

Senior Research Fellow

Cuba at Crossroads

Haiti in Crisis

Gang Warfare and Disputed Territory

Haiti’s gang violence and instability prompt a Kenya-led, UN-backed mission to restore order.

Lott

Jonathan

Lott

Senior Research Fellow

Senior Research Fellow

Haiti in Crisis

Implications of a Trump Re-Election

A Global Outlook

A Trump re-election has strong foreign policy implications: an insecure NATO, US isolationism, and a reinforced Israel.

Kaiser

Theo

Kaiser

Junior Research Fellow

Afzal

Talha

Afzal

Junior Research Fellow

Implications of a Trump Re-Election

North American Trade Relations

The Role of NAFTA and USMCA

The free trade agreements NAFTA and USMCA played relevant but overexaggerated roles in shaping North American economies.

Bürck

Alvin

Bürck

Junior Research Fellow

Junior Research Fellow

North American Trade Relations

Palestinian Statehood

Growing Isolation of the United States

The American blockade of a UN vote on Palestinian statehood highlights different positions on the international stage.

Kaiser

Theo

Kaiser

Junior Research Fellow

Bürck

Alvin

Bürck

Junior Research Fellow

Palestinian Statehood

Stuck in the Middle

How the Canada-India Dispute Affects Global Allies

Canada-India diplomatic row strains trade, alliances, and Indo-Pacific strategies amid Sikh separatism accusations.

Cullen

Nina

Cullen

Senior Research Fellow

Senior Research Fellow

Stuck in the Middle

The Arctic

A Reloaded Geopolitical Arena for Canada and the United States

Melting Arctic ice drives competition; Russia gains, Canada and the U.S. cooperate but clash.

Rath

Artur

Rath

Senior Research Fellow

Senior Research Fellow

The Arctic

The Red Sea Crisis

N/A

Escalating tensions between the US and Iran-backed Houthi rebels led to military actions and disruptions in the Red Sea region.

Bürck

Alvin

Bürck

Junior Research Fellow

Junior Research Fellow

The Red Sea Crisis

U.S. Presidential Election

The World Is Watching

International stakes are high as Trump and Harris vie for the 47th presidency in a tight, unpredictable U.S. election.

Bürck

Alvin

Bürck

Junior Research Fellow

Junior Research Fellow

U.S. Presidential Election
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