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Working Group
Sub-Saharan Africa
Das Potenzial für eine florierende Zukunft nutzen
The Working Group Sub-Saharan Africa, analysing political stability, security challenges, and economic development, explores regional conflicts, counterterrorism efforts, and foreign influence in Sub-Saharan Africa. It assesses governance trends, resource security, and military cooperation. Monthly briefings present factual analyses and visualisations to illustrate the region’s evolving role in international security policy.
Veröffentlichungen
No Peace in Sight
How domestic power struggles and international interference prolong Sudan’s civil war
Why has Sudan’s civil war persisted despite military shifts and international involvement?
The competing clientelist systems of Al-Burhan and Hemedti, combined with persistent foreign interference, make successful peace talks unlikely. Even if the Al-Burhan's SAF secures key tactical victories, such as reclaiming Khartoum, this will not necessarily lead to a decisive end to the conflict.
As a result, Sudan remains locked in prolonged instability with devastating humanitarian consequences.
Flawed Agreements and Unkept Promises
Failed Ceasefire and the Ongoing Humanitarian Crisis in the DRC
Was the Rwanda-DRC ceasefire agreement effective in ending humanitarian struggles in the eastern DRC? The ceasefire was not effective since it did not include non-state militias which are actively present in the region and are pursuing violence against civilians. Civilians continue to die predominantly at the hands of non-state militias. Additionally, Rwanda was not actively involved in reaching peace, while the DRC did not try to ameliorate the livelihood of civilians.
The Potential Expansion of the Coup Belt
The underlying factors of coup d'états and its similarities in Cameroon
1. What is the Coup Belt and is there a risk of it expanding? 2. The countries of the Coup Belt share some underlying factors behind their coup d’états. 3. There is a risk of the Coup Belt expanding southwards to include Cameroon.
